AP Brera vs KF Besa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
12º
9º
4
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 44 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 36 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 34 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 27 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 26 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 23 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 1
AKP
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BES
0 - 0
RAB
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
BES
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
22%
26%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |