AP Brera vs Belasica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAK
1 - 0
AKP
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 0
AKP
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 2
REN
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Belasica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
POB
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
SIL
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
PEL
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
RAB
1 - 1
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 0
SHK
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |