Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 1
PSV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
49%
23%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 5
FEY
18%
22%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BEQ
2 - 5
WIL
15%
19%
65%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 2
WIL
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |