Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
5 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
FCK
0 - 0
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
GRO
1 - 4
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
WIL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |