Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
AJA
6 - 5
FOR
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
AJA
3 - 3
FEY
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
WIL
3 - 4
GRO
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
WIL
4 - 3
HFC
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |