Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1966 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 1
DWS
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 3
ELI
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
4 - 0
TWE
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 2
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |