Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 3
AJA
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
AJA
6 - 2
DVO
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 3
AJA
33%
22%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
AJA
2 - 0
ENS
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 1
AJA
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 4
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
77%
13%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 0
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |