Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ELI
3 - 3
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
FFK
44%
22%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
FFK
4 - 3
AJA
64%
17%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
3 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
FEY
7 - 1
WIL
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
2 - 3
VVV
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
RAP
4 - 0
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
WIL
2 - 2
MVV
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |