Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
MVV
3 - 6
AJA
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
NAC
2 - 4
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
AJA
0 - 2
RAP
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
WIL
5 - 1
FOR
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 1
ELI
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
ADO
3 - 3
WIL
66%
17%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
ADO
7 - 3
WIL
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
WIL
1 - 5
NAC
45%
22%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |