Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ENS
0 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
BOS
74%
15%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
32%
22%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
VVV
0 - 1
VVD
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
VVV
3 - 2
DWS
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
FOR
3 - 1
VVV
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
VVV
1 - 5
PSV
35%
22%
43%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
ENS
0 - 0
VVV
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |