Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 0
SIT
80%
13%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
33%
21%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 3
ADO
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 3
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 4
VVD
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
VVD
3 - 1
GAE
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
SIT
1 - 1
VVD
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |