Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
BOS
3 - 1
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
VVV
0 - 0
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
0 - 2
FOR
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 2
ENS
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
DWS
1 - 2
VVD
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
VVD
1 - 3
VVV
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FOR
4 - 1
VVD
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
VVD
2 - 8
PSV
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
VVD
1 - 3
BOS
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |