Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
4.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.1%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
TEL
1 - 2
AJA
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
SLB
0 - 0
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
VIT
2 - 3
NEC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOS
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
PSV
2 - 1
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 0
VOL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |