Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Ajax vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 0
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 3
AND
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 3
FCN
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
STB
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ASV
0 - 2
STR
5%
12%
83%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
KAP
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
KRA
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
GNA
2 - 3
STR
4%
12%
85%
|
80 | 26 | 54 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |