Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
1 - 1
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
TEL
2 - 1
HFC
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
SPA
2 - 2
TEL
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
TEL
0 - 1
ADO
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
NEC
3 - 0
TEL
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
VVV
3 - 2
TEL
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |