Europa League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 0-4
Ajax vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
5 - 1
RKC
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
AND
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
SIB
0 - 2
SPA
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 2
SPA
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DIN
1 - 1
SPA
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |