Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
RKC
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 5
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
SCH
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ADO
2 - 4
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 4
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |