Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
AJA
2 - 0
APO
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
CEL
0 - 1
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPA
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
0 - 0
RKC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
SPA
3 - 1
UTR
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FEY
5 - 0
SPA
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |