Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 0
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 2
NEC
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
HFC
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 3
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
1 - 0
SPA
35%
30%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 1
MVV
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
2 - 0
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
VVV
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |