Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
AJA
3 - 1
MVV
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
AJA
2 - 3
VOL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VVD
3 - 1
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
SPA
2 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FEY
0 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
DWS
1 - 1
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |