Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ENS
3 - 3
AJA
36%
23%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
AJA
4 - 2
SIT
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
VVD
2 - 2
AJA
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
AJA
2 - 0
DWS
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1960 |
SPA
2 - 3
GLA
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
SPA
4 - 0
FOR
56%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
ELI
1 - 1
SPA
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
SPA
6 - 0
ADO
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |