Europa League 1/32
Global 6-1
Ajax vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
RBS
0 - 3
AJA
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
AJA
3 - 1
GAE
84%
13%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
LIN
0 - 1
RBS
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1992 |
RBS
1 - 1
LAS
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
RBS
0 - 3
AJA
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
LAS
1 - 3
RBS
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
STR
1 - 2
RBS
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |