Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 3
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 4
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 2
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RJC
3 - 3
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 2
RJC
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 4
RJC
41%
23%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |