Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
FEY
1 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
RKC
3 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
UTR
4 - 3
RKC
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RKC
1 - 2
RBC
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
RKC
2 - 0
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 1
RKC
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |