Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 4
WAG
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 4
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
PSV
0 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
ZWO
0 - 0
PSV
19%
21%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
PSV
3 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PSV
5 - 0
HFC
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |