Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
OMO
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
NEC
0 - 3
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 0
ZWO
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
10 - 0
OMO
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 0
RJC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
ASS
6 - 0
PSV
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
PSV
2 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |