Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
SHS
1 - 4
AJA
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
HAN
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
HAN
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
14%
18%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
PSV
4 - 2
RAP
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 2
NEC
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
RAP
1 - 2
PSV
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1969 |
PSV
4 - 1
GAE
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |