Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 2
ENS
58%
20%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
PSV
1 - 1
ELI
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
FEY
3 - 2
PSV
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
PSV
0 - 4
FEY
44%
24%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VVD
2 - 0
PSV
30%
23%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |