Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
FOR
2 - 2
AJA
29%
22%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
2 - 2
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
PSV
5 - 1
VOL
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MVV
1 - 1
PSV
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRO
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
DWS
0 - 0
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
PSV
1 - 1
ENS
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |