Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
FFK
4 - 3
AJA
64%
17%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
FEY
9 - 5
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
AJA
2 - 0
VVV
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
FEY
3 - 0
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 7
AJA
38%
22%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
NAC
4 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
PSV
4 - 2
FEY
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
PSV
3 - 1
ELI
78%
14%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
ADO
1 - 2
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
PSV
3 - 2
VOL
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |