Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
ENS
0 - 3
AJA
47%
21%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 1
TSV
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
DWS
1 - 5
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
VVD
0 - 2
AJA
47%
21%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
RAP
3 - 1
PSV
41%
21%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
ENS
5 - 4
PSV
45%
21%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
PSV
7 - 4
EIN
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
GRO
1 - 5
PSV
39%
22%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |