Qualif. Champions 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Ajax vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
BEZ
0 - 2
AJA
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
AJA
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
KRS
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 2
AJA
5%
14%
81%
|
85 | 11 | 74 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 4
FCL
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
PAO
1 - 1
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 2
PAO
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
STB
4 - 3
PAO
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
PAO
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
SIL
0 - 14
PAO
7%
15%
78%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |