Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Ajax vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 3
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
VOJ
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
OLP
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 4
PAN
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |