Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ZWO
5 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
65%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 2
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NEC
2 - 5
TWE
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 1
BVO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |