Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
TIM
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 5
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NEC
3 - 4
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 2
NEC
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 3
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 1
RKC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 0
NEC
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |