Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
11%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 2
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
VOL
0 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
ATM
2 - 3
AJA
56%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
NEC
3 - 0
VOL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
NEC
3 - 1
RKC
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |