Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
2.9%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 0
HKS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
11%
20%
68%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1995 |
HKS
0 - 0
AJA
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
FCD
1 - 3
AJA
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 1
RJC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
88%
10%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
NEC
1 - 2
RKC
47%
25%
27%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
TWE
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
GRO
2 - 2
NEC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |