Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
24%
22%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1989 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
NEC
0 - 4
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
NEC
0 - 1
RJC
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
NEC
2 - 2
BOS
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
GRO
1 - 1
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |