Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
AJA
7 - 1
UTR
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 5
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
AJA
8 - 1
AZA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 1
SHS
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 1
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
NEC
5 - 0
EXC
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |