Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
16%
21%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
RJC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 3
NAC
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 3
AZA
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |