Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
AJA
0 - 1
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
AJA
9 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
GRO
3 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 3
NAC
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEY
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |