Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
AJA
6 - 0
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 1
HFC
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
TWE
6 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 2
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |