Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
BYM
61%
19%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
61%
19%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
18%
27%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 3
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 5
FEY
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 2
NAC
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
PSV
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |