Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
AJA
9 - 3
MVV
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
DWS
1 - 1
AJA
52%
21%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
26%
20%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
NAC
3 - 0
VVD
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
SIT
1 - 1
NAC
33%
24%
44%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
NAC
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
MVV
3 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |