Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
RAP
4 - 1
AJA
37%
22%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 0
TSV
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
VVD
5 - 3
AJA
59%
19%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
AJA
4 - 2
FCB
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
ENS
1 - 1
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
ELI
1 - 3
NAC
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
NAC
0 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 0
NAC
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
NAC
1 - 1
DWS
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |