Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points