Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
AJA
2 - 3
VOL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VVD
3 - 1
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 1
DWS
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
24%
20%
56%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
MVV
1 - 1
HER
52%
23%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
FEY
9 - 1
MVV
74%
15%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
MVV
2 - 1
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
DWS
1 - 0
MVV
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
MVV
0 - 0
FOR
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |