Ajax vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1995 |
FEY
0 - 5
AJA
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 1
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1995 |
AJA
2 - 1
UTR
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
MVV
0 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
AJA
5 - 2
BYM
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
58%
25%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
ACM
3 - 0
USF
62%
22%
16%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
REG
0 - 4
ACM
18%
27%
56%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
ACM
5 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
18%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |