Ajax vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
65%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
LYO
3 - 1
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
83%
12%
4%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
CRY
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 0
MUD
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TOT
2 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
MUD
1 - 1
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |