Ajax vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 4
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
APO
70%
18%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
APO
0 - 0
AJA
26%
23%
52%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 4
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
ANG
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AMI
1 - 0
LIL
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |